Data/hora: 19/05/2024 04:46:15

Biblioteca(s): 	Embrapa Agricultura Digital; Embrapa Pecuária Sudeste.	
Tipo da produção científica: 	Artigo em Periódico Indexado	
Circulação/Nível: 	A - 1	
Data corrente: 	23/12/2014	
Data da última atualização: 	29/03/2023	
Autoria: 	ANDRADE, A. S.; SANTOS, P. M.; PEZZOPANE, J. R. M.; BETTIOL, G. M.; EVANGELISTA, S. R. M.	
Afiliação: 	ANDRÉ SANTANA ANDRADE, USP, Piracicaba, SP.; PATRICIA MENEZES SANTOS, CPPSE; JOSE RICARDO MACEDO PEZZOPANE, CPPSE; GIOVANA MARANHAO BETTIOL, CPPSE; SILVIO ROBERTO MEDEIROS EVANGELISTA, CNPTIA.	
Título: 	Climate change and future scenarios for palisade grass production in the state of São Paulo, Brazil.	
Ano de publicação: 	2014	
Fonte/Imprenta: 	Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, Brasília, v. 49, n. 10, p. 745-753, out. 2014.	
DOI: 	https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-204X2014001000001	
Idioma: 	Inglês
Português	
Conteúdo: 	The objective of this work was to analyze future scenarios for palisade grass yield subjected to climate change for the state of São Paulo, Brazil. An empirical crop model was used to estimate yields, according to growing degree-days adjusted by one drought attenuation factor. Climate data from 1963 to 2009 of 23 meteorological stations were used for current climate conditions. Downscaled outputs of two general circulation models were used to project future climate for the 2013-2040 and 2043-2070 periods, considering two contrasting scenarios of temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration increase (high and low). Annual dry matter yield should be from 14 to 42% higher than the current one, depending on the evaluated scenario. Yield variation between seasons (seasonality) and years is expected to increase. The increase of dry matter accumulation will be higher in the rainy season than in the dry season, and this result is more evident for soils with low-water storage capacity. The results varied significantly between regions (<10% to >60%). Despite their higher climate potential, warmer regions will probably have a lower increase in future forage production.	
Palavras-Chave: 	Empirical model; ETA; Modelo empírico; Modelos de cultivo; Mudanças climáticas; Precis; Tropical grass.	
Thesagro: 	Brachiaria Brizantha; Gramínea.	
Thesaurus Nal: 	Climate change; Crop models; Urochloa brizantha.	
Categoria do assunto: 	P Recursos Naturais, Ciências Ambientais e da Terra	
URL: 	http://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/item/114310/1/PROCI-2014.00166.pdf	
Registro original: 	Embrapa Pecuária Sudeste (CPPSE)	
Exemplares: 	CPPSE - (22779-1) - UPC - AP - DD - PROCI-2014.00166 - AND - 2014.00166 - DIS
CNPTIA - (18239-1) - UPC - AP - DD -  -  -  - DIS